Tennis · ATP Stockholm · 11/11, 13:00
Prediction: Taylor Fritz vs Cameron Norrie
Team pages: Taylor Fritz · Cameron Norrie
Prediction summary
Winner
Taylor Fritz
Cameron Norrie
Estimated games
23.3Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Taylor Fritz
6-4 (W-L)
Cameron Norrie
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Taylor Fritz
7–3
Cameron Norrie
(10 last)
- 31 Dec2-0 13-10W
- 17 Oct2-0 12-7W
- 04 Jan1-2 15-17L
- 09 Dec2-1 21-18W
- 24 Sept2-1 20-15W
- 14 Sept1-2 17-16L
- 06 Jan2-1 16-13W
- 04 Nov2-0 13-9W
Showing the 8 with a final score we have.
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Taylor Fritz 1581 · Cameron Norrie 1466
| Taylor Fritz | Cameron Norrie | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Taylor Fritz (rating 1581 vs 1466).
- Taylor Fritz is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Taylor Fritz 7–3 Cameron Norrie (10).
Statistics
| Taylor Fritz | Cameron Norrie | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.1-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-11.5 | 12.1-13.4 |
| Aces | 13.9 | 4 |
| Double faults | 1 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 80.1% | 65.9% |
| Break % | 35.4% | 40.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +0.8
Over 22.5: 56% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 44% · 1.83
H2H · Taylor Fritz 7 – 3 Cameron Norrie (10)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Taylor Fritz 7–3 Cameron Norrie
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/12/23 United Cup | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 17/10/23 ATP Tokyo | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/01/23 United Cup | 1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 09/12/22 Diriyah Tennis Cup | 2-1 | 21-18 | W |
| 24/09/22 Laver Cup | 2-1 | 20-15 | W |
| 14/09/22 Davis Cup | 1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 06/01/22 ATP Cup | 2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 04/11/21 ATP Paris | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Taylor Fritz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Carlos Alcaraz Garfia ATP Paris · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 05/11 | Arthur Fils ATP Paris · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/11 | Alex Molcan ATP Paris · Hard |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 03/11 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Paris · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 31/10 | Valentin Vacherot ATP Basel · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/10 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Basel · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/10 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Basel · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/10 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Lyon · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Tommy Paul ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/10 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Cameron Norrie
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | James Duckworth ATP Stockholm · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 03/11 | Ben Shelton ATP Paris · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/11 | Matteo Arnaldi ATP Paris · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 29/10 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Vienna · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 27/10 | Francisco Cerundolo ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/10 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Lyon · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 08/10 | Dalibor Svrcina ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 01/10 | Alexander Zverev ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/08 | Luca Van Assche US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 14-24 | L |
| 16/08 | Alexander Zverev ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Taylor Fritz vs Cameron Norrie?
Our model gives 70% to Taylor Fritz, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.