Tennis · ATP Stockholm · 09/11, 14:00
Prediction: Tomas Machac vs Borna Gojo
Team pages: Tomas Machac · Borna Gojo
Prediction summary
Winner
Tomas Machac
Borna Gojo
Estimated games
22.8Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Tomas Machac
7-3 (W-L)
Borna Gojo
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Tomas Machac
1–1
Borna Gojo
(2 last)
- 26 Aug0-2 8-13L
- 04 Oct2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tomas Machac 1551 · Borna Gojo 1563
| Tomas Machac | Borna Gojo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Tomas Machac dominates on serve: 6.1 aces and 42.8% break avg.
Statistics
| Tomas Machac | Borna Gojo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-9.1 | 12.7-12.3 |
| Aces | 6.1 | 12.8 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 73.7% | 75.9% |
| Break % | 42.8% | 38.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8 · Bet365 line 22.5
Over 22.5: 52% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 48% · 1.80
H2H · Tomas Machac 1 – 1 Borna Gojo (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tomas Machac 1–1 Borna Gojo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08/23 US Open | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/10/21 Challenger Mouilleron le Captif | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tomas Machac
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Arthur Fils ATP Paris · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/11 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Paris · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/11 | Sebastian Baez ATP Paris · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/10 | Martin Landaluce ATP Paris · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/10 | Alex De Minaur ATP Vienna · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 24/10 | Corentin Moutet ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/10 | Karen Khachanov ATP Almaty · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 21/10 | Zangar Nurlanuly ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/10 | Liam Draxl Challenger Jinan · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 15/10 | Aleksandar Vukic Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Borna Gojo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Stockholm · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/11 | Mika Brunold ATP Stockholm · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 28/10 | Dino Prizmic Challenger Brest · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Tom Paris Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 22/10 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Lyon · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Arthur Fery ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/10 | Vitaliy Sachko ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/10 | Francesco Maestrelli ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 09/10 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Philip Henning Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tomas Machac vs Borna Gojo?
Our model gives 62% to Tomas Machac, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

