Tennis · Challenger Costa do Sauipe · 07/11, 20:30
Prediction: Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Thiago Seyboth Wild
Team pages: Facundo Diaz Acosta · Thiago Seyboth Wild
Prediction summary
Winner
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Facundo Diaz Acosta
4-6 (W-L)
Thiago Seyboth Wild
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Facundo Diaz Acosta
2–3
Thiago Seyboth Wild
(5 last)
- 10 Feb1-2 11-15L
- 08 Jan2-1 16-18W
- 11 Mar0-2 9-13L
- 02 Dec2-0 13-8W
- 23 Nov0-2 9-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Facundo Diaz Acosta 1549 · Thiago Seyboth Wild 1622
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | Thiago Seyboth Wild | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thiago Seyboth Wild (rating 1549 vs 1622).
- Thiago Seyboth Wild dominates on serve: 7 aces and 50% break avg.
- Thiago Seyboth Wild is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Facundo Diaz Acosta 2–3 Thiago Seyboth Wild (5).
Statistics
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | Thiago Seyboth Wild | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 83% (6) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.9-0.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-11.6 | 13.1-7.9 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 7 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 69.8% | 79.6% |
| Break % | 45.8% | 50% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
H2H · Facundo Diaz Acosta 2 – 3 Thiago Seyboth Wild (5)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Facundo Diaz Acosta 2–3 Thiago Seyboth Wild
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/02/25 ATP Buenos Aires | 1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 08/01/24 ATP Adelaide | 2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 11/03/23 Challenger Santiago | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/12/21 Challenger Sao Paulo | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/11/21 Challenger Brasilia | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/11 | Filip Misolic Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 03/11 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/10 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Almaty · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 13/10 | Shintaro Mochizuki Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Nuno Borges ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/09 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 13/09 | Dusan Lajovic Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/09 | Jaume Munar Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/11 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/11 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/10 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/10 | Francisco Comesana Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 17/10 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/10 | Carlos Maria Zarate Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/10 | Mateus Alves Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/10 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 10/10 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Thiago Seyboth Wild?
Our model gives 61% to Thiago Seyboth Wild, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.