Tennis · Challenger Costa do Sauipe · 06/11, 14:00
Prediction: Juan Carlos Prado Angelo vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Team pages: Juan Carlos Prado Angelo · Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Prediction summary
Winner
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
7-3 (W-L)
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
0–2
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
(2 last)
- 01 Apr0-2 11-14L
- 06 Mar0-2 7-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juan Carlos Prado Angelo 1560 · Camilo Ugo Carabelli 1507
| Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Juan Carlos Prado Angelo (rating 1560 vs 1507).
- Head-to-head: Juan Carlos Prado Angelo 0–2 Camilo Ugo Carabelli (2).
Statistics
| Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 100% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-7.9 | 11.4-12.2 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 0.6 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.9% | 71.6% |
| Break % | 59.1% | 30.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
H2H · Juan Carlos Prado Angelo 0 – 2 Camilo Ugo Carabelli (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Juan Carlos Prado Angelo 0–2 Camilo Ugo Carabelli
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/04/24 Challenger Florianopolis | 0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 06/03/24 Challenger Santa Cruz | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 03/11 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/10 | Nick Hardt Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/10 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 14/10 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/10 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/10 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/10 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Igor Marcondes Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/11 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 27/10 | Federico Coria Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/10 | Felix Auger Aliassime ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 08/10 | Ilia Simakin ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 28/09 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Federico Cina ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Jan-Lennard Struff US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 10-18 | L |
| 20/08 | Nicolas Mejia Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juan Carlos Prado Angelo vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli?
Our model gives 51% to Camilo Ugo Carabelli, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.