Tennis · Challenger Costa do Sauipe · 06/11, 20:30
Prediction: Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Marco Cecchinato
Team pages: Facundo Diaz Acosta · Marco Cecchinato
Prediction summary
Winner
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Marco Cecchinato
Estimated games
24.6
Recent form · 10 last
Facundo Diaz Acosta
4-6 (W-L)
Marco Cecchinato
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Facundo Diaz Acosta
2–1
Marco Cecchinato
(3 last)
- 05 Jul2-1 20-19W
- 10 Nov0-2 9-13L
- 21 Oct2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Facundo Diaz Acosta 1547 · Marco Cecchinato 1508
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | Marco Cecchinato | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Facundo Diaz Acosta 2–1 Marco Cecchinato (3).
Statistics
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | Marco Cecchinato | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 83% (6) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-11.5 | 12.7-12.8 |
| Aces | 3 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 69% | 67% |
| Break % | 46.2% | 31.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.6
H2H · Facundo Diaz Acosta 2 – 1 Marco Cecchinato (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Facundo Diaz Acosta 2–1 Marco Cecchinato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/26 Challenger Milan | 2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 10/11/25 Challenger Montevideo | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/10/22 Challenger Coquimbo | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Filip Misolic Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 03/11 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/10 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Almaty · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 13/10 | Shintaro Mochizuki Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Nuno Borges ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/09 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 13/09 | Dusan Lajovic Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/09 | Jaume Munar Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 11/09 | Sebastian Ofner Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Marco Cecchinato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/11 | Francisco Comesana Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 21/10 | Matej Dodig Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 19/10 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/10 | Pedro Vives Marcos Challenger Catania · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Olle Wallin Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 18/09 | Marco Trungelliti Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 17/09 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 15/09 | Henri Squire Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/09 | Laslo Djere Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Marco Cecchinato?
Our model gives 64% to Facundo Diaz Acosta, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.