Tennis · Challenger Costa do Sauipe · 06/11, 14:00
Prediction: Gonzalo Bueno vs Lautaro Midon
Team pages: Gonzalo Bueno · Lautaro Midon
Prediction summary
Winner
Gonzalo Bueno
Lautaro Midon
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Gonzalo Bueno
5-5 (W-L)
Lautaro Midon
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Gonzalo Bueno
2–1
Lautaro Midon
(3 last)
- 11 Apr2-1 17-11W
- 19 Mar1-2 13-16L
- 29 Sept2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gonzalo Bueno 1510 · Lautaro Midon 1563
| Gonzalo Bueno | Lautaro Midon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lautaro Midon (rating 1510 vs 1563).
- Head-to-head: Gonzalo Bueno 2–1 Lautaro Midon (3).
Statistics
| Gonzalo Bueno | Lautaro Midon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-12.4 | 11.9-10.6 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 63% | 70.3% |
| Break % | 42% | 39.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
H2H · Gonzalo Bueno 2 – 1 Lautaro Midon (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gonzalo Bueno 2–1 Lautaro Midon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Challenger Campinas | 2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 19/03/26 Challenger Asuncion | 1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 29/09/23 M25 Lujan | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gonzalo Bueno
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 29/10 | Carlos Maria Zarate Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 27/10 | Alex Barrena Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/10 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger Cali · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 19/10 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 13/10 | Maximo Zeitune Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 12-14 | W |
| 02/09 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Billy Harris US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Lautaro Midon
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 03/11 | Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/10 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 29/10 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 27/10 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/10 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/10 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 06/10 | Jose Pereira Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 02/10 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gonzalo Bueno vs Lautaro Midon?
Our model gives 62% to Lautaro Midon, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.