Tennis · Challenger Costa do Sauipe · 07/11, 19:00
Prediction: Gonzalo Bueno vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Team pages: Gonzalo Bueno · Camilo Ugo Carabelli
See it on the live radar ↗
Prediction summary
Winner
Gonzalo Bueno
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Gonzalo Bueno
6-4 (W-L)
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gonzalo Bueno 1536 · Camilo Ugo Carabelli 1550
| Gonzalo Bueno | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Gonzalo Bueno | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 100% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-11.5 | 12-11.5 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 5 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 64.6% | 74.3% |
| Break % | 43.5% | 39.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gonzalo Bueno
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/11 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 29/10 | Carlos Maria Zarate Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 27/10 | Alex Barrena Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/10 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger Cali · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 19/10 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 13/10 | Maximo Zeitune Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 12-14 | W |
| 02/09 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/11 | Igor Marcondes Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/11 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 27/10 | Federico Coria Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/10 | Felix Auger Aliassime ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 08/10 | Ilia Simakin ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 28/09 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Federico Cina ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Jan-Lennard Struff US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 10-18 | L |
| 20/08 | Nicolas Mejia Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gonzalo Bueno vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli?
Our model gives 64% to Camilo Ugo Carabelli, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.