Tennis · ATP Stockholm · 07/11, 14:00
Prediction: Viktor Durasovic vs Alexander Shevchenko
Team pages: Viktor Durasovic · Alexander Shevchenko
Prediction summary
Winner
Viktor Durasovic
Alexander Shevchenko
Estimated games
22Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Viktor Durasovic
8-2 (W-L)
Alexander Shevchenko
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Viktor Durasovic 1551 · Alexander Shevchenko 1469
| Viktor Durasovic | Alexander Shevchenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Viktor Durasovic (rating 1551 vs 1469).
- Viktor Durasovic dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 53.4% break avg.
- Viktor Durasovic is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Viktor Durasovic | Alexander Shevchenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-11.3 | 10.9-11.1 |
| Aces | 6.8 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 73.6% | 72.9% |
| Break % | 53.4% | 34.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +0.5
Over 21.5: 53% · 1.80
Under 21.5: 47% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Viktor Durasovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Oliver Tarvet M25 Sheffield |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/10 | Roan Jones M25 Sheffield |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 28/10 | Jelle Sels M25 Sheffield |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/10 | Jake Evans M25 Sheffield |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/10 | Patrick Brady M25 Redbridge |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Kyle Mckay M25 Redbridge |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/10 | Vladislav Melnic M25 Redbridge |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/10 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Olbia · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 12/10 | Christian Langmo Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 11/10 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Alexander Shevchenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 18/10 | Stefanos Sakellaridis ATP Almaty · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 17/10 | Daniil Glinka ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 16/10 | Mattia Bellucci Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Jay Friend Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/10 | Miomir Kecmanovic Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/10 | Yoshihito Nishioka ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Hayato Matsuoka Asian Games |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 29/09 | Abhishek Bastola Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/09 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Viktor Durasovic vs Alexander Shevchenko?
Our model gives 61% to Alexander Shevchenko, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.