Tennis · ATP Stockholm · 07/11, 12:30
Prediction: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Sonego
Team pages: Olle Wallin · Lorenzo Sonego
Prediction summary
Winner
Olle Wallin
Lorenzo Sonego
Estimated games
23.2Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Olle Wallin
4-6 (W-L)
Lorenzo Sonego
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Olle Wallin 1523 · Lorenzo Sonego 1477
| Olle Wallin | Lorenzo Sonego | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olle Wallin (rating 1523 vs 1477).
Statistics
| Olle Wallin | Lorenzo Sonego | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-11 | 12.9-14 |
| Aces | 5.2 | 9 |
| Double faults | 2 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 74.6% |
| Break % | 38% | 28.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +3.7
Over 19.5: 74% · 1.72
Under 19.5: 26% · 2.00
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Olle Wallin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 05/10 | Tiago Cacao Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 04/10 | Pedro Rodenas Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 29/09 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Bari · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/09 | Chun Hsin Tseng Davis Cup |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Davis Cup |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 08/09 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/09 | Matthias Ujvary Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Lorenzo Sonego
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Paris · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/11 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Paris · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 31/10 | Jaume Munar ATP Paris · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 25/10 | Jacob Fearnley ATP Vienna · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 24/10 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 19/10 | Moise Kouame ATP Lyon · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/10 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 28/09 | Kamil Majchrzak ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Chengdu · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 24/09 | James Duckworth ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Sonego?
Our model gives 68% to Lorenzo Sonego, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.