Tennis · ATP Stockholm · 07/11, 14:00
Prediction: Karl Friberg vs Toby Samuel
Team pages: Karl Friberg · Toby Samuel
Prediction summary
Winner
Karl Friberg
Toby Samuel
Estimated games
21.2Bet365 line 18.5
Recent form · 10 last
Karl Friberg
4-6 (W-L)
Toby Samuel
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Karl Friberg 1467 · Toby Samuel 1473
| Karl Friberg | Toby Samuel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 10% | 90% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Karl Friberg | Toby Samuel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-11.3 | 10.7-12.1 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 5 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 67.7% | 70% |
| Break % | 39.4% | 35% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2 · Bet365 line 18.5 · +2.7
Over 18.5: 68% · 1.72
Under 18.5: 32% · 2.00
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Karl Friberg
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Andrej Nedic M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/11 | Gabriel Ghetu M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/10 | Alexander Chang M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Oleg Prihodko M15 Rodez |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 24/09 | Henry Bernet M25 Falun |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/09 | William Rejchtman Vinciguerra M25 Falun |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 22/09 | Nikola Slavic M25 Falun |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/09 | Chun Hsin Tseng Davis Cup |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Samir Banerjee M25 Plaisir |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Alex Knaff M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Toby Samuel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Jurij Rodionov Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/11 | Lukas Pokorny Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 29/10 | Clement Tabur Challenger Brest · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/10 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/10 | Zizou Bergs ATP Brussels · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Hynek Barton Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Jerome Kym Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 29/09 | Mackenzie McDonald Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 19/09 | Andy Andrade Davis Cup |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 03/09 | Jiri Lehecka US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 10-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Karl Friberg vs Toby Samuel?
Our model gives 73% to Toby Samuel, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.