Tennis · ATP Stockholm · 07/11, 15:30
Prediction: Adrian Mannarino vs Jan Simonsson
Team pages: Adrian Mannarino · Jan Simonsson
Prediction summary
Winner
Adrian Mannarino
Jan Simonsson
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Adrian Mannarino
6-4 (W-L)
Jan Simonsson
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adrian Mannarino 1528 · Jan Simonsson 1525
| Adrian Mannarino | Jan Simonsson | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 95% | 5% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Adrian Mannarino | Jan Simonsson | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-12.2 | 12.4-10.2 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 69.8% | 69.1% |
| Break % | 43.3% | 42.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adrian Mannarino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Nuno Borges ATP Paris · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 30/10 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Vienna · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Jakub Mensik ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/10 | Ignacio Buse ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 25/10 | Alex Molcan ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/10 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/10 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Almaty · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Andrey Rublev ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 19/10 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 11/10 | Karen Khachanov ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Jan Simonsson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Michal Krajci M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-1 | 3-6 | L |
| 30/09 | Luke Hooper M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 29/09 | Alberto Garcia Garcia M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/09 | William Rejchtman Vinciguerra M25 Falun |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 22/08 | Niklas Guttau M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 21/08 | Jonathan Mridha M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 20/08 | William Rejchtman Vinciguerra M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 19/08 | Jack Karlsson Winstrand M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/08 | Didrik Liljekvist M15 Malmo |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Isac Stroemberg M15 Malmo |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adrian Mannarino vs Jan Simonsson?
Our model gives 75% to Adrian Mannarino, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.