Tennis · Challenger Taipei · 07/11, 06:00
Prediction: Yuta Shimizu vs Jan Kumstat
Team pages: Yuta Shimizu · Jan Kumstat
Prediction summary
Winner
Yuta Shimizu
Jan Kumstat
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Yuta Shimizu
7-3 (W-L)
Jan Kumstat
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yuta Shimizu 1571 · Jan Kumstat 1524
| Yuta Shimizu | Jan Kumstat | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yuta Shimizu (rating 1571 vs 1524).
Statistics
| Yuta Shimizu | Jan Kumstat | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-9.9 | 11.8-12.4 |
| Aces | 4 | 8.8 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 78% | 75.4% |
| Break % | 50.9% | 23.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yuta Shimizu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Omar Jasika Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/11 | August Holmgren Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/11 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/11 | Evan Zhu Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/11 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/10 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 26/10 | Mili Poljicak Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 18/10 | Max Purcell Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 29/09 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Jan Kumstat
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Harold Mayot Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 04/11 | Billy Harris Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/11 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 27/10 | Sho Shimabukuro Challenger Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Michael Mmoh ATP Lyon · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 15/10 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 31/08 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 21/08 | Filip Cristian Jianu Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yuta Shimizu vs Jan Kumstat?
Our model gives 52% to Jan Kumstat, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.