Tennis · Challenger Taipei · 06/11, 03:00
Prediction: Yuta Shimizu vs Omar Jasika
Team pages: Yuta Shimizu · Omar Jasika
Prediction summary
Winner
Yuta Shimizu
Omar Jasika
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Yuta Shimizu
6-4 (W-L)
Omar Jasika
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Yuta Shimizu
1–2
Omar Jasika
(3 last)
- 02 May2-0 14-10W
- 06 Jul0-2 6-12L
- 23 Apr0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yuta Shimizu 1543 · Omar Jasika 1586
| Yuta Shimizu | Omar Jasika | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Omar Jasika (rating 1543 vs 1586).
- Head-to-head: Yuta Shimizu 1–2 Omar Jasika (3).
Statistics
| Yuta Shimizu | Omar Jasika | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-11 | 13.1-11.1 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 78.3% | 70% |
| Break % | 50% | 42.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
H2H · Yuta Shimizu 1 – 2 Omar Jasika (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yuta Shimizu 1–2 Omar Jasika
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/24 Challenger Guangzhou | 2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 06/07/23 Challenger Bloomfield Hills | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/04/22 ITF M15 Chiang Rai | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yuta Shimizu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | August Holmgren Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/11 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/11 | Evan Zhu Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/11 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/10 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 26/10 | Mili Poljicak Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 18/10 | Max Purcell Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 29/09 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Omar Jasika
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Jake Delaney Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 03/11 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 02/11 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 01/11 | Alexander Donski Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 31/10 | Coleman Wong Challenger Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/10 | Yunseong Chung Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 28/10 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/10 | Yuta Kikuchi Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/10 | Tae Woo Kim Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/10 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yuta Shimizu vs Omar Jasika?
Our model gives 50% to Yuta Shimizu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.