Tennis · Challenger Taipei · 06/11, 07:30
Prediction: Coleman Wong vs Kasidit Samrej
Team pages: Coleman Wong · Kasidit Samrej
Prediction summary
Winner
Coleman Wong
Kasidit Samrej
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Coleman Wong
9-1 (W-L)
Kasidit Samrej
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Coleman Wong
3–1
Kasidit Samrej
(4 last)
- 21 Oct2-1 16-13W
- 01 Oct2-0 12-3W
- 31 Oct1-2 16-19L
- 24 Sept2-0 12-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Coleman Wong 1606 · Kasidit Samrej 1511
| Coleman Wong | Kasidit Samrej | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Coleman Wong (rating 1606 vs 1511).
- Coleman Wong dominates on serve: 11.5 aces and 51.3% break avg.
- Coleman Wong is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Coleman Wong 3–1 Kasidit Samrej (4).
- Note: Kasidit Samrej makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Coleman Wong | Kasidit Samrej | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.4 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-8.4 | 11.7-11.8 |
| Aces | 11.5 | 6.5 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 76.2% | 74.8% |
| Break % | 51.3% | 26.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
H2H · Coleman Wong 3 – 1 Kasidit Samrej (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Coleman Wong 3–1 Kasidit Samrej
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10/26 Challenger Guangzhou | 2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 01/10/26 Asian Games | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/10/24 Challenger Seoul | 1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 24/09/24 Challenger Nonthaburi | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Coleman Wong
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Chun-Chien Hou Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/11 | Tsung-Hao Huang Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 01/11 | Terence Atmane Challenger Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 31/10 | Omar Jasika Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/10 | Sho Shimabukuro Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/10 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/10 | Sanhui Shin Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 25/10 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 24/10 | Yi Zhou Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/10 | Jay Friend Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Kasidit Samrej
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Carl Emil Overbeck Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/11 | James McCabe Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/11 | Omar Jasika Challenger Taipei · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 01/11 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/10 | Rei Sakamoto Challenger Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Coleman Wong Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 20/10 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 19/10 | Yaroslav Demin Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Naoya Honda Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 08/10 | Fajing Sun Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Coleman Wong vs Kasidit Samrej?
Our model gives 73% to Coleman Wong, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.