Tennis · Challenger Taipei · 06/11, 03:00
Prediction: Yosuke Watanuki vs Alexandre Muller
Team pages: Yosuke Watanuki · Alexandre Muller
Prediction summary
Winner
Yosuke Watanuki
Alexandre Muller
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Yosuke Watanuki
10-0 (W-L)
Alexandre Muller
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yosuke Watanuki 1611 · Alexandre Muller 1524
| Yosuke Watanuki | Alexandre Muller | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yosuke Watanuki (rating 1611 vs 1524).
- Yosuke Watanuki dominates on serve: 7.1 aces and 56.6% break avg.
- Yosuke Watanuki is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Yosuke Watanuki | Alexandre Muller | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 89% (9) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.2 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-5.3 | 10.4-9.9 |
| Aces | 7.1 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 81.2% | 70.8% |
| Break % | 56.6% | 30.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yosuke Watanuki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/11 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/11 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/11 | Dominik Palan Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/10 | Shintaro Mochizuki Challenger Jinan · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 15/10 | Marin Cilic Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/10 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/10 | Kaito Uesugi Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/10 | Semen Pankin Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 29/09 | Fares Alwazer Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Alexandre Muller
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Charles Broom Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 04/11 | Yaroslav Demin Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/10 | Tomas Machac Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Rio Noguchi ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 30/09 | Mattia Bellucci Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 26/09 | Federico Cina ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/09 | Moise Kouame ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/09 | Petr Bar Biryukov ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yosuke Watanuki vs Alexandre Muller?
Our model gives 60% to Yosuke Watanuki, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.