Tennis · Challenger Taipei · 06/11, 03:00
Prediction: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot
Team pages: Jan Kumstat · Harold Mayot
Prediction summary
Winner
Jan Kumstat
Harold Mayot
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Jan Kumstat
5-5 (W-L)
Harold Mayot
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jan Kumstat 1511 · Harold Mayot 1554
| Jan Kumstat | Harold Mayot | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Harold Mayot (rating 1511 vs 1554).
Statistics
| Jan Kumstat | Harold Mayot | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-11.4 | 12-11.2 |
| Aces | 7.5 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 75.4% | 72.6% |
| Break % | 28.3% | 43.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jan Kumstat
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Billy Harris Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/11 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 27/10 | Sho Shimabukuro Challenger Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Michael Mmoh ATP Lyon · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 15/10 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 31/08 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 21/08 | Filip Cristian Jianu Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/08 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Harold Mayot
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Sho Shimabukuro Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 04/11 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/10 | Yaroslav Demin Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/10 | Tianhui Zhang Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/10 | Gabriel Diallo ATP Almaty · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 30/09 | Niels Visker Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/09 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Jesper De Jong Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot?
Our model gives 57% to Harold Mayot, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.