Tennis · M15 San Gregorio · 05/11, 14:30
Prediction: Stepan Baum vs Giuseppe La Vela
Team pages: Stepan Baum · Giuseppe La Vela
Prediction summary
Winner
Stepan Baum
Giuseppe La Vela
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Stepan Baum
8-2 (W-L)
Giuseppe La Vela
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stepan Baum 1594 · Giuseppe La Vela 1503
| Stepan Baum | Giuseppe La Vela | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stepan Baum (rating 1594 vs 1503).
- Stepan Baum is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Stepan Baum | Giuseppe La Vela | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (5) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-7.5 | 11.8-11.7 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 68.5% | 69% |
| Break % | 44.8% | 44.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stepan Baum
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Alessandro Battiston M15 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/09 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Pardubice |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Lukas Pokorny M25 Pardubice |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 26/09 | Matyas Cerny M25 Pardubice |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Pardubice |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 22/09 | Martin Soukal M25 Pardubice |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/09 | Dominik Recek UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/09 | Thiago Pernas UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/09 | Karim Al-Amin UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 17/09 | Yan Sabanin UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Giuseppe La Vela
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Sebastiano Cocola M15 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/10 | Alexander Weis M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 13/10 | Eric Vanshelboim M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 04/10 | Kalin Ivanovski Challenger Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 27/09 | John Sperle Challenger Bari · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Jay Clarke Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Giovanni Oradini Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 15/09 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 13/09 | Stefano D'Agostino Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stepan Baum vs Giuseppe La Vela?
Our model gives 52% to Giuseppe La Vela, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.