Tennis · M15 San Gregorio · 05/11, 14:30
Prediction: John Sperle vs Antonio Caruso
Team pages: John Sperle · Antonio Caruso
Prediction summary
Winner
John Sperle
Antonio Caruso
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
John Sperle
5-5 (W-L)
Antonio Caruso
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · John Sperle 1517 · Antonio Caruso 1501
| John Sperle | Antonio Caruso | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| John Sperle | Antonio Caruso | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-11.4 | 9.4-11.3 |
| Aces | 2 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 63.9% | 62.9% |
| Break % | 37.8% | 37.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
John Sperle
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Andrea Fiorentini M15 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/10 | Alex Marti Pujolras Challenger Catania · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Vlad Cristian Breazu M15 Burgas |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 07/10 | Matthias Ujvary M15 Burgas |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/09 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Bari · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 28/09 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 27/09 | Giuseppe La Vela Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Jay Clarke Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/09 | Sergi Fita Juan Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/09 | Lilian Marmousez M15 Budapest |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Antonio Caruso
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Mariano Tammaro M15 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 03/11 | Leonardo Primucci M15 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Giovanni Oradini M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Silvio Mencaglia M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 22/06 | Giacomo Crisostomo M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/06 | Lorenzo Berto M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Gian Marco Ortenzi M15 Messina · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 09/06 | Niccolo Ciavarella M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/06 | Fabio Varsalona M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/02 | Lars Goran Verwerft M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in John Sperle vs Antonio Caruso?
Our model gives 67% to John Sperle, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.