Tennis · Challenger Taipei · 05/11, 04:00
Prediction: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro
Team pages: Harold Mayot · Sho Shimabukuro
Prediction summary
Winner
Harold Mayot
Sho Shimabukuro
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Harold Mayot
7-3 (W-L)
Sho Shimabukuro
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Harold Mayot
1–1
Sho Shimabukuro
(2 last)
- 17 Oct0-2 5-12L
- 20 Jan2-0 12-2W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Harold Mayot 1565 · Sho Shimabukuro 1506
| Harold Mayot | Sho Shimabukuro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Harold Mayot (rating 1565 vs 1506).
Statistics
| Harold Mayot | Sho Shimabukuro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10.3 | 9.7-10.1 |
| Aces | 5.4 | 4 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 73.7% | 68.7% |
| Break % | 45.7% | 30.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
H2H · Harold Mayot 1 – 1 Sho Shimabukuro (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Harold Mayot 1–1 Sho Shimabukuro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10/25 Challenger Shenzhen | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/01/22 M25 Monastir | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Harold Mayot
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/10 | Yaroslav Demin Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/10 | Tianhui Zhang Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/10 | Gabriel Diallo ATP Almaty · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 30/09 | Niels Visker Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/09 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Jesper De Jong Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 24/09 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Sho Shimabukuro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Mili Poljicak Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/10 | Coleman Wong Challenger Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 29/10 | Jay Friend Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/10 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/10 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Almaty · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Roman Safiullin ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 07/10 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Hugo Gaston ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Anton Shepp Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro?
Our model gives 54% to Harold Mayot, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.