Tennis · Challenger Costa do Sauipe · 04/11, 20:30
Prediction: Lautaro Midon vs Tomas Barrios Vera
Team pages: Lautaro Midon · Tomas Barrios Vera
Prediction summary
Winner
Lautaro Midon
Tomas Barrios Vera
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Lautaro Midon
7-3 (W-L)
Tomas Barrios Vera
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lautaro Midon
0–2
Tomas Barrios Vera
(2 last)
- 01 Oct0-2 4-12L
- 24 Jan0-2 6-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lautaro Midon 1570 · Tomas Barrios Vera 1531
| Lautaro Midon | Tomas Barrios Vera | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Lautaro Midon 0–2 Tomas Barrios Vera (2).
- Note: Tomas Barrios Vera makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Lautaro Midon | Tomas Barrios Vera | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-9.7 | 12.5-10.4 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 70.6% | 65.5% |
| Break % | 38.1% | 39.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
H2H · Lautaro Midon 0 – 2 Tomas Barrios Vera (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lautaro Midon 0–2 Tomas Barrios Vera
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10/25 Challenger Antofagasta | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/01/25 Challenger Punta del Este | 0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lautaro Midon
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/10 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 29/10 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 27/10 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/10 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/10 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 06/10 | Jose Pereira Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 02/10 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Bruno Fernandez Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Tomas Barrios Vera
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Henrique Rocha Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/10 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Juan Estevez Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/10 | Nicolas Jarry Challenger Cali · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 08/10 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 06/10 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/10 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 02/10 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 30/09 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lautaro Midon vs Tomas Barrios Vera?
Our model gives 55% to Lautaro Midon, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.