Tennis · Challenger Costa do Sauipe · 05/11, 19:00
Prediction: Joao Lucas Reis da Silva vs Elmer Moller
Team pages: Joao Lucas Reis da Silva · Elmer Moller
Prediction summary
Winner
Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
Elmer Moller
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
7-3 (W-L)
Elmer Moller
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
0–1
Elmer Moller
(1 last)
- 14 May0-2 7-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joao Lucas Reis da Silva 1581 · Elmer Moller 1584
| Joao Lucas Reis da Silva | Elmer Moller | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Joao Lucas Reis da Silva 0–1 Elmer Moller (1).
- Note: Elmer Moller makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Joao Lucas Reis da Silva | Elmer Moller | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.7-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-9.6 | 13.7-11.3 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 66.9% | 60.6% |
| Break % | 44% | 53.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
H2H · Joao Lucas Reis da Silva 0 – 1 Elmer Moller (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Joao Lucas Reis da Silva 0–1 Elmer Moller
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05/26 Challenger Zagreb | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/10 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 30/10 | Emilio Camacho Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 28/10 | Lorenzo Claverie Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/10 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 10/10 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/10 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/10 | Bernardo Munk Mesa Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/09 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 29/09 | Murkel Dellien Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Elmer Moller
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/10 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 23/10 | Henrique Rocha Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/10 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 19/10 | Tristan Boyer Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/10 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Maia · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 11/10 | Matej Dodig Challenger Braga · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 10/10 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 09/10 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 08/10 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joao Lucas Reis da Silva vs Elmer Moller?
Our model gives 56% to Elmer Moller, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.