Tennis · Challenger Costa do Sauipe · 05/11, 19:00
Prediction: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Franco Roncadelli
Team pages: Thiago Seyboth Wild · Franco Roncadelli
Prediction summary
Winner
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Franco Roncadelli
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Thiago Seyboth Wild
9-1 (W-L)
Franco Roncadelli
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thiago Seyboth Wild 1639 · Franco Roncadelli 1488
| Thiago Seyboth Wild | Franco Roncadelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 30% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thiago Seyboth Wild (rating 1639 vs 1488).
- Thiago Seyboth Wild dominates on serve: 6.2 aces and 51.9% break avg.
- Thiago Seyboth Wild is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Thiago Seyboth Wild | Franco Roncadelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 90% (10) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.3 | 1.1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-7.2 | 12-12 |
| Aces | 6.2 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 80.5% | 59.6% |
| Break % | 51.9% | 46% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/10 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/10 | Francisco Comesana Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 17/10 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/10 | Carlos Maria Zarate Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/10 | Mateus Alves Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/10 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 10/10 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/10 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/10 | Murkel Dellien Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Franco Roncadelli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Rafael Tosetto Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 27/10 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 16/10 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 15/10 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 13/10 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 06/10 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Bruno Fernandez Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/08 | Elias Ymer US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Franco Roncadelli?
Our model gives 80% to Thiago Seyboth Wild, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.