Tennis · Challenger Costa do Sauipe · 05/11, 19:00
Prediction: Thiago Monteiro vs Marco Cecchinato
Team pages: Thiago Monteiro · Marco Cecchinato
Prediction summary
Winner
Thiago Monteiro
Marco Cecchinato
Estimated games
24.7
Recent form · 10 last
Thiago Monteiro
7-3 (W-L)
Marco Cecchinato
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Thiago Monteiro
3–1
Marco Cecchinato
(4 last)
- 23 Sept2-0 14-12W
- 01 Jul1-2 13-16L
- 01 Mar2-1 15-11W
- 02 Feb2-1 20-18W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thiago Monteiro 1511 · Marco Cecchinato 1492
| Thiago Monteiro | Marco Cecchinato | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Thiago Monteiro 3–1 Marco Cecchinato (4).
Statistics
| Thiago Monteiro | Marco Cecchinato | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.2 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.9-13.6 | 12.1-13 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 68.6% | 63.6% |
| Break % | 42.3% | 36.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.7
H2H · Thiago Monteiro 3 – 1 Marco Cecchinato (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Thiago Monteiro 3–1 Marco Cecchinato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09/25 Challenger Lisbon | 2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 01/07/25 Challenger Modena | 1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 01/03/23 ATP Santiago | 2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 02/02/20 Challenger Punta del Este | 2-1 | 20-18 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thiago Monteiro
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Leonardo Storck Franca Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/10 | Henrique Rocha Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 19/10 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/10 | Marco Trungelliti Challenger Maia · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 05/10 | Elmer Moller Challenger Braga · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 22/09 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 20/09 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 19/09 | Marco Trungelliti Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 18/09 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/09 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
Marco Cecchinato
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Francisco Comesana Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 21/10 | Matej Dodig Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 19/10 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/10 | Pedro Vives Marcos Challenger Catania · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Olle Wallin Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 18/09 | Marco Trungelliti Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 17/09 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 15/09 | Henri Squire Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/09 | Laslo Djere Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 03/09 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thiago Monteiro vs Marco Cecchinato?
Our model gives 51% to Thiago Monteiro, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.