Tennis · M15 San Gregorio · 05/11, 10:00
Prediction: Gabriele Crivellaro vs Pietro Marino
Team pages: Gabriele Crivellaro · Pietro Marino
Prediction summary
Winner
Gabriele Crivellaro
Pietro Marino
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Gabriele Crivellaro
5-5 (W-L)
Pietro Marino
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Gabriele Crivellaro
1–0
Pietro Marino
(1 last)
- 23 Jul2-1 18-14W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gabriele Crivellaro 1541 · Pietro Marino 1485
| Gabriele Crivellaro | Pietro Marino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gabriele Crivellaro (rating 1541 vs 1485).
- Head-to-head: Gabriele Crivellaro 1–0 Pietro Marino (1).
Statistics
| Gabriele Crivellaro | Pietro Marino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-10.8 | 9.9-9.8 |
| Aces | 2 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 61.8% | 61.8% |
| Break % | 32% | 50.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
H2H · Gabriele Crivellaro 1 – 0 Pietro Marino (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gabriele Crivellaro 1–0 Pietro Marino
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07/25 M15 Segrate | 2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gabriele Crivellaro
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Lorenzo Berto M15 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/10 | Jonas Forejtek M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Ivan Ivanov M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 09/10 | Alexander Weis M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Dimitar Kisimov M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/10 | Martin Van Der Meerschen M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 23/09 | Andrea De Marchi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 22/09 | Daniele Minighini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/09 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Pietro Marino
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Gabriele Maria Noce M15 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/10 | Tommaso Compagnucci M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Mak Mikovic M15 Sibenik |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Eric Vanshelboim M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Leonardo Primucci M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/09 | Daniele Rapagnetta M15 Melilla |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez M15 Melilla |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/09 | Leonid Sheyngezikht M15 Melilla |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 17/09 | Pablo Perez Navarro M15 Melilla |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gabriele Crivellaro vs Pietro Marino?
Our model gives 58% to Gabriele Crivellaro, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.