Tennis · M15 San Gregorio · 04/11, 10:00
Prediction: Alessandro Battiston vs Stepan Baum
Team pages: Alessandro Battiston · Stepan Baum
Prediction summary
Winner
Alessandro Battiston
Stepan Baum
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Alessandro Battiston
6-4 (W-L)
Stepan Baum
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alessandro Battiston 1530 · Stepan Baum 1596
| Alessandro Battiston | Stepan Baum | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stepan Baum (rating 1530 vs 1596).
- Stepan Baum is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Alessandro Battiston | Stepan Baum | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 100% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.8-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-10.1 | 12.6-8 |
| Aces | 2 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 61.1% | 68.4% |
| Break % | 53.8% | 42.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alessandro Battiston
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Alessandro Coccioli M15 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
| 22/10 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 21/10 | Ramazan Kaan Oktay M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/10 | Martin Van Der Meerschen M15 Sibenik |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Ryan Zuberbuehler M15 Sibenik |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 16/09 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Filippo Francesco Garbero M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/09 | Silvio Mencaglia M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 03/09 | Gabriele Maria Noce M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Mak Mikovic M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Stepan Baum
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Pardubice |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Lukas Pokorny M25 Pardubice |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 26/09 | Matyas Cerny M25 Pardubice |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Pardubice |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 22/09 | Martin Soukal M25 Pardubice |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/09 | Dominik Recek UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/09 | Thiago Pernas UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/09 | Karim Al-Amin UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 17/09 | Yan Sabanin UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/09 | Sebastian Prechtel UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alessandro Battiston vs Stepan Baum?
Our model gives 67% to Stepan Baum, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.