Tennis · M15 San Gregorio · 04/11, 10:00
Prediction: Francesco Ferrari vs Lorenzo Rottoli
Team pages: Francesco Ferrari · Lorenzo Rottoli
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesco Ferrari
Lorenzo Rottoli
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Francesco Ferrari
5-5 (W-L)
Lorenzo Rottoli
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Francesco Ferrari
0–1
Lorenzo Rottoli
(1 last)
- 04 Mar0-2 8-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesco Ferrari 1488 · Lorenzo Rottoli 1477
| Francesco Ferrari | Lorenzo Rottoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Francesco Ferrari 0–1 Lorenzo Rottoli (1).
Statistics
| Francesco Ferrari | Lorenzo Rottoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-12.2 | 10.6-11 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 60.7% | 62.6% |
| Break % | 47.5% | 41.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
H2H · Francesco Ferrari 0 – 1 Lorenzo Rottoli (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Francesco Ferrari 0–1 Lorenzo Rottoli
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/03/17 ITF Italy F3 Qual | 0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesco Ferrari
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Florian Doleys M15 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/10 | Michel Hopp M15 Burgas |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 26/09 | Dmitry Popko M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Stijn Paardekooper M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/09 | Timofei Derepasko M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 06/09 | Gianmarco Ferrari Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 19/08 | Vlad Cristian Breazu M15 Arad |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Gabriele Bosio M15 Targu Jiu |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 06/08 | Robert Guna M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Lorenzo Rottoli
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Alex Kobelt M15 Selva Gardena |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/09 | Stefano D'Agostino Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Gabriele Maria Noce Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/09 | Garrett Johns M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 06/09 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/08 | Johan Nikles Challenger Como · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 30/08 | Giuseppe La Vela Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/08 | Andrej Martin M15 Vienna |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Matthias Ujvary M15 Vienna |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesco Ferrari vs Lorenzo Rottoli?
Our model gives 57% to Lorenzo Rottoli, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.