Tennis · Challenger Taipei · 05/11, 03:00
Prediction: Yosuke Watanuki vs Masamichi Imamura
Team pages: Yosuke Watanuki · Masamichi Imamura
Prediction summary
Winner
Yosuke Watanuki
Masamichi Imamura
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Yosuke Watanuki
10-0 (W-L)
Masamichi Imamura
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yosuke Watanuki 1579 · Masamichi Imamura 1438
| Yosuke Watanuki | Masamichi Imamura | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yosuke Watanuki (rating 1579 vs 1438).
- Yosuke Watanuki dominates on serve: 7.1 aces and 47.3% break avg.
- Yosuke Watanuki is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Yosuke Watanuki | Masamichi Imamura | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 78% (9) | 22% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.4 | 0.6-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-7 | 8.7-11.7 |
| Aces | 7.1 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 80.6% | 67.4% |
| Break % | 47.3% | 24.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yosuke Watanuki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/11 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/11 | Dominik Palan Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/10 | Shintaro Mochizuki Challenger Jinan · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 15/10 | Marin Cilic Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/10 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/10 | Kaito Uesugi Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/10 | Semen Pankin Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 29/09 | Fares Alwazer Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 07/09 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
Masamichi Imamura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/11 | Luca Staeheli Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/10 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Saba Purtseladze Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Rio Noguchi ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Enzo Aguiard Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Yunseong Chung M25 Sapporo |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 01/09 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yosuke Watanuki vs Masamichi Imamura?
Our model gives 73% to Yosuke Watanuki, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.