Tennis · Challenger Costa do Sauipe · 04/11, 17:00
Prediction: Gustavo Heide vs Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Team pages: Gustavo Heide · Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Prediction summary
Winner
Gustavo Heide
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Gustavo Heide
8-2 (W-L)
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Gustavo Heide
1–1
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
(2 last)
- 02 Apr2-0 12-7W
- 14 Oct1-2 15-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gustavo Heide 1604 · Juan Carlos Prado Angelo 1546
| Gustavo Heide | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gustavo Heide (rating 1604 vs 1546).
- Note: Gustavo Heide makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Gustavo Heide | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-10.5 | 11-8.4 |
| Aces | 5.9 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 5.3 | 0.7 |
| 1st serve % | 75.6% | 69.2% |
| Break % | 43% | 58.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
H2H · Gustavo Heide 1 – 1 Juan Carlos Prado Angelo (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gustavo Heide 1–1 Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/04/26 Challenger Sao Leopoldo | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/10/25 Challenger Curitiba | 1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gustavo Heide
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 24/10 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/10 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/10 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/10 | Alex Hernandez Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 08/10 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 06/10 | Maximo Zeitune Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 04/10 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/10 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/10 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/10 | Nick Hardt Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/10 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 14/10 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/10 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/10 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/10 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/09 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gustavo Heide vs Juan Carlos Prado Angelo?
Our model gives 61% to Gustavo Heide, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.