Tennis · Challenger Costa do Sauipe · 03/11, 23:00
Prediction: Luis Felipe Miguel vs Igor Marcondes
Team pages: Luis Felipe Miguel · Igor Marcondes
Prediction summary
Winner
Luis Felipe Miguel
Igor Marcondes
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Luis Felipe Miguel
7-3 (W-L)
Igor Marcondes
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luis Felipe Miguel 1557 · Igor Marcondes 1499
| Luis Felipe Miguel | Igor Marcondes | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luis Felipe Miguel (rating 1557 vs 1499).
Statistics
| Luis Felipe Miguel | Igor Marcondes | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (4) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-10.1 | 11.5-12.4 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 5.7 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 68.5% | 67.5% |
| Break % | 58.9% | 52.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luis Felipe Miguel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 01/11 | Federico Zeballos Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/09 | Evan Bynoe M15 Columbia |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 23/09 | Manel Lazaro Juncadella M15 Columbia |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 10/09 | Mikail Alimli UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 09/09 | William Mirarchi UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 08/09 | Freddy Murray UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/09 | Elias Sumann UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 26/06 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 13/06 | Alex Hernandez M15 Brasilia |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Igor Marcondes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Erik Arutiunian Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 20/10 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 29/09 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Nishesh Basavareddy Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/09 | Timo Legout Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 25/09 | Federico Agustin Gomez Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 23/09 | Patrick Maloney Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 22/09 | Ozan Baris Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/09 | Nishesh Basavareddy Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Max Purcell Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luis Felipe Miguel vs Igor Marcondes?
Our model gives 59% to Igor Marcondes, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.