Tennis · Challenger Costa do Sauipe · 03/11, 21:00
Prediction: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Luis Guto Miguel
Team pages: Eduardo Ribeiro · Luis Guto Miguel
Prediction summary
Winner
Eduardo Ribeiro
Luis Guto Miguel
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Eduardo Ribeiro
4-6 (W-L)
Luis Guto Miguel
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eduardo Ribeiro 1480 · Luis Guto Miguel 1508
| Eduardo Ribeiro | Luis Guto Miguel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Eduardo Ribeiro | Luis Guto Miguel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-11.7 | 11.5-11.4 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 2 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 65.1% | 72.9% |
| Break % | 28.1% | 42% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eduardo Ribeiro
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Luis Felipe Miguel Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 14/10 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 06/10 | Samuel Heredia Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/09 | Pedro Sakamoto Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Federico Coria Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/09 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/09 | Pedro Vives Marcos Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Luis Guto Miguel
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Maximo Zeitune Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/10 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 01/10 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 29/08 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/08 | Tyler Zink Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/08 | Valentin Royer Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 15/05 | Manuel Mazza M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eduardo Ribeiro vs Luis Guto Miguel?
Our model gives 57% to Luis Guto Miguel, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.