Tennis · Challenger Costa do Sauipe · 03/11, 19:00
Prediction: Rafael Tosetto vs Franco Roncadelli
Team pages: Rafael Tosetto · Franco Roncadelli
Prediction summary
Winner
Rafael Tosetto
Franco Roncadelli
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Rafael Tosetto
7-3 (W-L)
Franco Roncadelli
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Rafael Tosetto
0–2
Franco Roncadelli
(2 last)
- 06 May1-2 8-13L
- 22 Oct1-2 12-17L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rafael Tosetto 1574 · Franco Roncadelli 1461
| Rafael Tosetto | Franco Roncadelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rafael Tosetto (rating 1574 vs 1461).
- Rafael Tosetto is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Rafael Tosetto 0–2 Franco Roncadelli (2).
Statistics
| Rafael Tosetto | Franco Roncadelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 0.9-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-11.9 | 11.2-12.1 |
| Aces | 3 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 0.8 |
| 1st serve % | 68.4% | 57.7% |
| Break % | 38.8% | 45.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
H2H · Rafael Tosetto 0 – 2 Franco Roncadelli (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rafael Tosetto 0–2 Franco Roncadelli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/24 Challenger Santos | 1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/10/23 Challenger Curitiba | 1-2 | 12-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rafael Tosetto
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/11 | Younes Lalami Laaroussi Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/10 | Tomas Martinez M15 Joao Pessoa |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 17/10 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/10 | Joao Goncalves M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 13/10 | Ignacio Monzon M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 27/09 | Jose Pereira Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 24/09 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro M15 Curitiba |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 23/09 | Jefferson Wendler Filho M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Franco Roncadelli
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 16/10 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 15/10 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 13/10 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 06/10 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Bruno Fernandez Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/08 | Elias Ymer US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rafael Tosetto vs Franco Roncadelli?
Our model gives 60% to Franco Roncadelli, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.