Tennis · Challenger Costa do Sauipe · 03/11, 19:00
Prediction: Thiago Monteiro vs Leonardo Storck Franca
Team pages: Thiago Monteiro
Prediction summary
Winner
Thiago Monteiro
Leonardo Storck Franca
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Thiago Monteiro
7-3 (W-L)
Leonardo Storck Franca
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thiago Monteiro 1508 · Leonardo Storck Franca 1508
| Thiago Monteiro | Leonardo Storck Franca | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Thiago Monteiro | Leonardo Storck Franca | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.2 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.9-13.6 | 10.2-9.6 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 69.7% | 65.6% |
| Break % | 41.9% | 41.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thiago Monteiro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Henrique Rocha Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 19/10 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/10 | Marco Trungelliti Challenger Maia · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 05/10 | Elmer Moller Challenger Braga · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 22/09 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 20/09 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 19/09 | Marco Trungelliti Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 18/09 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/09 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 14/09 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Leonardo Storck Franca
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/11 | Jose Pereira Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/10 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M15 Joao Pessoa |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/10 | Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago M15 Joao Pessoa |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/10 | Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava M15 Maceio |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/10 | Mateo Barreiros Reyes M15 Maceio |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/10 | Enzo Lima M15 Maceio |
0-1 | 5-7 | L |
| 27/09 | Samuel Heredia Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 28/07 | Nicolas Baena M15 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 19/11 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Florianopolis · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thiago Monteiro vs Leonardo Storck Franca?
Our model gives 69% to Thiago Monteiro, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.