Tennis · Challenger Costa do Sauipe · 03/11, 19:00
Prediction: Filip Misolic vs Juan Pablo Varillas
Team pages: Filip Misolic · Juan Pablo Varillas
Prediction summary
Winner
Filip Misolic
Juan Pablo Varillas
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Filip Misolic
6-4 (W-L)
Juan Pablo Varillas
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Filip Misolic
1–0
Juan Pablo Varillas
(1 last)
- 21 Oct2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Filip Misolic 1570 · Juan Pablo Varillas 1485
| Filip Misolic | Juan Pablo Varillas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Filip Misolic (rating 1570 vs 1485).
- Head-to-head: Filip Misolic 1–0 Juan Pablo Varillas (1).
Statistics
| Filip Misolic | Juan Pablo Varillas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-7.3 | 10.6-11.9 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 0.8 |
| 1st serve % | 65.3% | 70.6% |
| Break % | 31.2% | 34.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
H2H · Filip Misolic 1 – 0 Juan Pablo Varillas (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Filip Misolic 1–0 Juan Pablo Varillas
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10/23 ATP Vienna | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Filip Misolic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Mateus Alves Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/10 | Alex Hernandez Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/10 | Martin Baquero Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 23/10 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Florence · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 20/10 | Felix Gill Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/10 | Daniel Siniakov Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/10 | Dominik Recek Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/10 | Patrick Schoen Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Tiago Esculcas Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Juan Pablo Varillas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/10 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/10 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Murkel Dellien Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 22/09 | Tomas Farjat Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 20/09 | Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/09 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo Davis Cup |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 11/09 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Filip Misolic vs Juan Pablo Varillas?
Our model gives 63% to Filip Misolic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.