Tennis · M15 San Gregorio · 04/11, 10:30
Prediction: Vlad Cristian Breazu vs Michele Mecarelli
Team pages: Vlad Cristian Breazu · Michele Mecarelli
Prediction summary
Winner
Vlad Cristian Breazu
Michele Mecarelli
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Vlad Cristian Breazu
6-4 (W-L)
Michele Mecarelli
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vlad Cristian Breazu 1533 · Michele Mecarelli 1503
| Vlad Cristian Breazu | Michele Mecarelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Vlad Cristian Breazu | Michele Mecarelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (4) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-9.2 | 9.2-10.2 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 2 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 66.9% | 61.3% |
| Break % | 43.5% | 42.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vlad Cristian Breazu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | George Lazarov M15 Burgas |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/10 | John Sperle M15 Burgas |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 06/10 | Antoni Fabre M15 Burgas |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/09 | Gabi Adrian Boitan M25 Slobozia |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Sebastian Gima M15 Buzau |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Evan Galea M15 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/08 | Radu David Turcanu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Robert Guna M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 27/08 | Nicolas Robert M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Andrei Corneliu Gadoiu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Michele Mecarelli
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Branko Djuric M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Jonas Forejtek M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Edoardo Cherie Ligniere M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/09 | Aleksandre Shvangiradze M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/09 | Dmitry Popko M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Edoardo Cherie Ligniere M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 24/09 | Ruslan Tiukaev M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 13/09 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Lilian Marmousez M15 Budapest |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 08/09 | V Krisztian Kovacs M15 Budapest |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vlad Cristian Breazu vs Michele Mecarelli?
Our model gives 52% to Vlad Cristian Breazu, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.