Tennis · M15 San Gregorio · 03/11, 13:30
Prediction: Gabriele Crivellaro vs Lorenzo Berto
Team pages: Gabriele Crivellaro · Lorenzo Berto
Prediction summary
Winner
Gabriele Crivellaro
Lorenzo Berto
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Gabriele Crivellaro
4-6 (W-L)
Lorenzo Berto
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gabriele Crivellaro 1510 · Lorenzo Berto 1541
| Gabriele Crivellaro | Lorenzo Berto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Lorenzo Berto makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Gabriele Crivellaro | Lorenzo Berto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-11.4 | 10.2-10.4 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 3 |
| Double faults | 2 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 61.1% | 65.3% |
| Break % | 30.9% | 56.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gabriele Crivellaro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Jonas Forejtek M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Ivan Ivanov M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 09/10 | Alexander Weis M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Dimitar Kisimov M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/10 | Martin Van Der Meerschen M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 23/09 | Andrea De Marchi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 22/09 | Daniele Minighini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/09 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Manuel Mazza M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Lorenzo Berto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Alexander Weis M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/10 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-8 | W |
| 13/10 | Daniele Rapagnetta M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/10 | Arthur Bellegy M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/10 | Manuel Mazza M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 21/09 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 20/09 | Lorenzo Bocchi Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/09 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/09 | Gabriele Bosio M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gabriele Crivellaro vs Lorenzo Berto?
Our model gives 52% to Gabriele Crivellaro, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.