Tennis · Challenger Taipei · 04/11, 03:00
Prediction: Lloyd Harris vs Yosuke Watanuki
Team pages: Lloyd Harris · Yosuke Watanuki
Prediction summary
Winner
Lloyd Harris
Yosuke Watanuki
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Lloyd Harris
6-4 (W-L)
Yosuke Watanuki
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lloyd Harris 1580 · Yosuke Watanuki 1580
| Lloyd Harris | Yosuke Watanuki | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Lloyd Harris dominates on serve: 8.9 aces and 50.1% break avg.
- Yosuke Watanuki dominates on serve: 7 aces and 44.7% break avg.
Statistics
| Lloyd Harris | Yosuke Watanuki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-9.7 | 12.2-7.7 |
| Aces | 8.9 | 7 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 76.7% | 79.2% |
| Break % | 50.1% | 44.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lloyd Harris
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Omar Jasika Challenger Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/10 | Juncheng Shang Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/10 | Coleman Wong ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 05/10 | Alex Bolt ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/10 | Mattia Bellucci Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 02/10 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/10 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/09 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/09 | Valentin Vacherot ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Yosuke Watanuki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/11 | Dominik Palan Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/10 | Shintaro Mochizuki Challenger Jinan · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 15/10 | Marin Cilic Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/10 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/10 | Kaito Uesugi Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/10 | Semen Pankin Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 29/09 | Fares Alwazer Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 07/09 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 02/09 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lloyd Harris vs Yosuke Watanuki?
Our model gives 59% to Lloyd Harris, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.