Tennis · Challenger Taipei · 04/11, 03:00

Prediction: Tung-Lin Wu vs Chun-Chien Hou

Team pages: Tung-Lin Wu · Chun-Chien Hou

Prediction summary
Winner
61% 39%
Tung-Lin Wu Chun-Chien Hou
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Tung-Lin Wu 5-5 (W-L)
LLLWWLWWLW
Chun-Chien Hou 7-3 (W-L)
WWLLWWWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tung-Lin Wu 1484 · Chun-Chien Hou 1535
Tung-Lin WuChun-Chien Hou
Our model43%57%
Market77%23%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chun-Chien Hou (rating 1484 vs 1535).
  • Chun-Chien Hou is in better form: 70% recent wins.

Statistics

Tung-Lin WuChun-Chien Hou
Win %40%70%
Win % · Hard 38% (8) 60% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.21.4-0.8
Games (G-P)11.2-10.911-9.5
Aces4.83.4
Double faults1.31.6
1st serve %69.2%72%
Break %37.6%47.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tung-Lin Wu

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/09 Max Dahlin
Davis Cup
2-0 12-8 W
10/09 Luca Castelnuovo
Challenger Shanghai · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
08/09 Alexandr Binda
Challenger Shanghai · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
31/08 Fajing Sun
Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard
1-2 17-19 L
21/08 Shunsuke Mitsui
M25 Taipei · ~Hard
1-2 12-12 L
20/08 Hiroki Moriya
M25 Taipei · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
19/08 Taisei Ichikawa
M25 Taipei · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
13/07 Coleman Wong
Challenger Lincoln · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
05/07 Alex Rybakov
Challenger Newport · Grass
0-2 10-13 L
01/07 Yosuke Watanuki
Challenger Cary · Hard
1-2 11-18 L

Chun-Chien Hou

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/11 Kaichi Uchida
Challenger Taipei · Hard
2-0 14-12 W
24/10 Hugo Hashimoto
M15 Tanagura
0-2 7-13 L
23/10 Jumpei Yamasaki
M15 Tanagura
2-0 12-4 W
22/10 Kanta Watanabe
M15 Tanagura
2-1 15-13 W
21/10 Shinji Hazawa
M15 Tanagura
2-1 14-12 W
19/10 Ryoma Cogan
M15 Tanagura
2-0 12-2 W
17/08 Nitin Kumar Sinha
M25 Taipei · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
16/07 Jangjun Kim
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
15/07 Kanan Gasimov
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
14/07 Ye Hongyu
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tung-Lin Wu vs Chun-Chien Hou?

Our model gives 61% to Tung-Lin Wu, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.