Tennis · Challenger Taipei · 04/11, 03:00
Prediction: Keegan Smith vs Jake Delaney
Team pages: Keegan Smith · Jake Delaney
Prediction summary
Winner
Keegan Smith
Jake Delaney
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Keegan Smith
7-3 (W-L)
Jake Delaney
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Keegan Smith 1490 · Jake Delaney 1502
| Keegan Smith | Jake Delaney | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Jake Delaney dominates on serve: 10.3 aces and 44.1% break avg.
Statistics
| Keegan Smith | Jake Delaney | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.4 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.8-14.3 | 11-10.6 |
| Aces | 11.8 | 10.3 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 74.7% | 80.3% |
| Break % | 23.9% | 44.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Keegan Smith
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 23/10 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/10 | Fajing Sun Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 20/10 | Max Purcell Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/10 | Martin Landaluce Challenger Jinan · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 14/10 | Vit Kopriva Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 13/10 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 06/10 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Wuning · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 02/10 | Mitchell Krueger Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Bryce Nakashima Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Jake Delaney
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Kai-I Wang Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/10 | Liam Broady Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 29/10 | Yi Zhou Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 27/10 | Alexandr Binda Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 19/10 | Coleman Wong Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/10 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Zane Stevens M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Wihan Van Der Merwe M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/10 | Harrison Satara M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/10 | Derek Pham M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Keegan Smith vs Jake Delaney?
Our model gives 57% to Keegan Smith, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.