Tennis · Challenger Costa do Sauipe · 02/11, 19:00
Prediction: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Wilson Leite
Team pages: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna · Wilson Leite
Prediction summary
Winner
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Wilson Leite
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
6-4 (W-L)
Wilson Leite
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
3–0
Wilson Leite
(3 last)
- 11 Jun2-1 15-13W
- 25 Oct2-0 13-10W
- 18 Jan2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Santiago Rodriguez Taverna 1547 · Wilson Leite 1490
| Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | Wilson Leite | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Santiago Rodriguez Taverna (rating 1547 vs 1490).
- Santiago Rodriguez Taverna is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna 3–0 Wilson Leite (3).
Statistics
| Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | Wilson Leite | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-9.7 | 10.9-10.3 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 75.5% | 70.3% |
| Break % | 33.6% | 44.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
H2H · Santiago Rodriguez Taverna 3 – 0 Wilson Leite (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Santiago Rodriguez Taverna 3–0 Wilson Leite
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06/24 Challenger Lima | 2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 25/10/23 Challenger Curitiba | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/01/22 Challenger Concepcion | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 20/10 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 19/10 | Sergio Luis Hernandez Ramirez Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/10 | Felipe De Dios Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/10 | Maximo Zeitune Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/10 | Nicolas Ciancaglini Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/09 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Fermin Tenti Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 21/09 | Nicolas Bruna Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Wilson Leite
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Andre Souza Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 18/10 | Sergio Luis Hernandez Ramirez Challenger Cali · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 12/10 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/10 | Luis Britto Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/10 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 29/09 | Bruno Fernandez Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 27/09 | Justin Roberts Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/09 | Mateus Alves M15 Curitiba |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Jose Pereira M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Wilson Leite?
Our model gives 70% to Santiago Rodriguez Taverna, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.