Tennis · Challenger Taipei · 02/11, 03:00
Prediction: Chun-Chien Hou vs Kaichi Uchida
Team pages: Chun-Chien Hou · Kaichi Uchida
Prediction summary
Winner
Chun-Chien Hou
Kaichi Uchida
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Chun-Chien Hou
6-4 (W-L)
Kaichi Uchida
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chun-Chien Hou 1508 · Kaichi Uchida 1443
| Chun-Chien Hou | Kaichi Uchida | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chun-Chien Hou (rating 1508 vs 1443).
- Chun-Chien Hou is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Chun-Chien Hou | Kaichi Uchida | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-9.5 | 9.6-11.7 |
| Aces | 3 | 5.8 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 71.6% | 68.6% |
| Break % | 44.3% | 32% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chun-Chien Hou
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Hugo Hashimoto M15 Tanagura |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/10 | Jumpei Yamasaki M15 Tanagura |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/10 | Kanta Watanabe M15 Tanagura |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 21/10 | Shinji Hazawa M15 Tanagura |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 19/10 | Ryoma Cogan M15 Tanagura |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/08 | Nitin Kumar Sinha M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Jangjun Kim M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Kanan Gasimov M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Ye Hongyu M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Yaojie Zeng M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Kaichi Uchida
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Harold Mayot Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/10 | Ognjen Milic Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/10 | Zhizhen Zhang Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/10 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/10 | Jesse Delaney Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/10 | Ryan Seggerman Challenger Wuning · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 06/10 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Federico Cina ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 07/09 | Linang Xiao Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chun-Chien Hou vs Kaichi Uchida?
Our model gives 58% to Kaichi Uchida, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.