Tennis · Challenger Taipei · 02/11, 03:00
Prediction: Evan Zhu vs Yuta Shimizu
Team pages: Evan Zhu · Yuta Shimizu
Prediction summary
Winner
Evan Zhu
Yuta Shimizu
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Evan Zhu
6-4 (W-L)
Yuta Shimizu
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Evan Zhu
1–1
Yuta Shimizu
(2 last)
- 03 May2-1 14-10W
- 11 Jul0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Evan Zhu 1498 · Yuta Shimizu 1492
| Evan Zhu | Yuta Shimizu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Evan Zhu | Yuta Shimizu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-11.3 | 12.9-12.5 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 5.7 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.8% | 78.7% |
| Break % | 44.2% | 49% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
H2H · Evan Zhu 1 – 1 Yuta Shimizu (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Evan Zhu 1–1 Yuta Shimizu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Challenger Wuxi | 2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 11/07/23 Challenger Chicago | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Evan Zhu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Yeonsu Jeong Challenger Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Max Purcell Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Yaojie Zeng Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/10 | Egor Pleshivtsev M25 Qian Daohu |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 08/10 | Alibek Kachmazov Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 06/10 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/10 | Alex Bolt Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 30/09 | Hanyi Liu Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/09 | Zhiheng Xia Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 22/09 | Henry Searle Challenger San Diego · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
Yuta Shimizu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/10 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 26/10 | Mili Poljicak Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 18/10 | Max Purcell Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 29/09 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 12/09 | Arthur Weber Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 09/09 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Evan Zhu vs Yuta Shimizu?
Our model gives 60% to Yuta Shimizu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.