Tennis · Challenger Costa do Sauipe · 01/11, 23:00
Prediction: Federico Zeballos vs Luis Felipe Miguel
Team pages: Federico Zeballos · Luis Felipe Miguel
Prediction summary
Winner
Federico Zeballos
Luis Felipe Miguel
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Federico Zeballos
4-6 (W-L)
Luis Felipe Miguel
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Federico Zeballos 1440 · Luis Felipe Miguel 1554
| Federico Zeballos | Luis Felipe Miguel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luis Felipe Miguel (rating 1440 vs 1554).
- Luis Felipe Miguel is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Federico Zeballos | Luis Felipe Miguel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (8) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.6 | 1.6-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.1-12.7 | 13.3-10.1 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 60.5% | 69.3% |
| Break % | 20.5% | 57.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Federico Zeballos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 11/10 | Samuel Heredia Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 27/09 | Bruno Fernandez Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 10/08 | Ergi Kirkin Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 26/07 | Francesco Forti Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/06 | Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Luis Felipe Miguel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Evan Bynoe M15 Columbia |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 23/09 | Manel Lazaro Juncadella M15 Columbia |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 10/09 | Mikail Alimli UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 09/09 | William Mirarchi UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 08/09 | Freddy Murray UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/09 | Elias Sumann UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 26/06 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 13/06 | Alex Hernandez M15 Brasilia |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos M15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Bautista De La Pena M15 Brasilia |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Federico Zeballos vs Luis Felipe Miguel?
Our model gives 66% to Luis Felipe Miguel, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.