Tennis · Challenger Taipei · 01/11, 10:30
Prediction: Alexander Donski vs Omar Jasika
Team pages: Alexander Donski · Omar Jasika
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Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Donski
Omar Jasika
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Donski
3-7 (W-L)
Omar Jasika
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Donski 1465 · Omar Jasika 1546
| Alexander Donski | Omar Jasika | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Omar Jasika (rating 1465 vs 1546).
- Alexander Donski dominates on serve: 9.7 aces and 44.8% break avg.
- Note: Alexander Donski makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Alexander Donski | Omar Jasika | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-12 | 11.8-9.3 |
| Aces | 9.7 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 77.1% | 69% |
| Break % | 44.8% | 48.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Donski
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Yunseong Chung Challenger Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/10 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 27/09 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 17/08 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Takuya Kumasaka Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Nitin Kumar Sinha Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/08 | Kenny de Schepper Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 21/07 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Omar Jasika
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Coleman Wong Challenger Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/10 | Yunseong Chung Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 28/10 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/10 | Yuta Kikuchi Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/10 | Tae Woo Kim Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/10 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/10 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Liam Draxl Challenger Jinan · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 11/10 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/10 | Alibek Kachmazov Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Donski vs Omar Jasika?
Our model gives 61% to Omar Jasika, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.