Tennis · Challenger Costa do Sauipe · 01/11, 20:00
Prediction: Miguel Tobon vs Enrique Bogo
Team pages: Miguel Tobon · Enrique Bogo
Prediction summary
Winner
Miguel Tobon
Enrique Bogo
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Miguel Tobon
4-6 (W-L)
Enrique Bogo
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Miguel Tobon 1538 · Enrique Bogo 1407
| Miguel Tobon | Enrique Bogo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 92% | 8% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Miguel Tobon (rating 1538 vs 1407).
- Miguel Tobon is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Miguel Tobon makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Miguel Tobon | Enrique Bogo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 0.5-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-11.7 | 7.7-11.2 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 68% | 57.9% |
| Break % | 50% | 49.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Miguel Tobon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/10 | Daniel Salazar Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/10 | Federico Zeballos Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/10 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Cali · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 23/10 | Nicolas Mejia Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 21/10 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 09/10 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 06/10 | Thiago Cigarran Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 29/09 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
Enrique Bogo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Alberto Bronzetti M25 Fano |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/06 | Jiri Cizek M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Duje Markovina M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 23/03 | Edoardo Zanada M15 Altamura · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/03 | Ryan Dickerson Challenger Brasilia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/11 | Enzo Lima ITF M15 Ribeirao Preto |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/11 | Laelson Rodrigues ITF M15 Ribeirao Preto |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/11 | Jackson Pereira Xavier ITF M15 Criciuma |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/11 | Juan Cruz Alcon ITF M15 Criciuma |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/11 | Eduardo Ribeiro ITF M25 Santa Cruz do Sul |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Miguel Tobon vs Enrique Bogo?
Our model gives 81% to Miguel Tobon, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.