Tennis · Challenger Costa do Sauipe · 03/11, 14:00
Prediction: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Team pages: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo · Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Prediction summary
Winner
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
6-4 (W-L)
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
0–2
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
(2 last)
- 18 Jun0-2 6-12L
- 10 Aug1-2 11-17L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 1550 · Camilo Ugo Carabelli 1452
| Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo (rating 1550 vs 1452).
- Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 0–2 Camilo Ugo Carabelli (2).
Statistics
| Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 0.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-8.8 | 10.4-12.9 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 66.6% | 69.7% |
| Break % | 46.4% | 34.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
H2H · Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 0 – 2 Camilo Ugo Carabelli (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 0–2 Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/24 Challenger Poznan | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/08/19 ITF M25 Vogau | 1-2 | 11-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 15/10 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Maia · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/10 | Andrej Martin Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/10 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/10 | Goncalo Marques Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/09 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 19/09 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/09 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/09 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/09 | Dali Blanch Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Federico Coria Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/10 | Felix Auger Aliassime ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 08/10 | Ilia Simakin ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 28/09 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Federico Cina ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Jan-Lennard Struff US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 10-18 | L |
| 20/08 | Nicolas Mejia Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Cameron Norrie ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Titouan Droguet ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli?
Our model gives 51% to Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.