Tennis · Challenger Costa do Sauipe · 03/11, 14:00
Prediction: Tomas Barrios Vera vs Henrique Rocha
Team pages: Tomas Barrios Vera · Henrique Rocha
Prediction summary
Winner
Tomas Barrios Vera
Henrique Rocha
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Tomas Barrios Vera
7-3 (W-L)
Henrique Rocha
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Tomas Barrios Vera
2–3
Henrique Rocha
(5 last)
- 25 Jun2-0 12-7W
- 12 Jun0-2 7-13L
- 22 May0-2 9-13L
- 07 Nov1-2 14-16L
- 01 Nov2-0 12-3W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tomas Barrios Vera 1512 · Henrique Rocha 1523
| Tomas Barrios Vera | Henrique Rocha | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Tomas Barrios Vera 2–3 Henrique Rocha (5).
- Note: Tomas Barrios Vera makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Tomas Barrios Vera | Henrique Rocha | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-11.2 | 12.3-10.1 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 4 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 65.7% | 64.5% |
| Break % | 32.7% | 47.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
H2H · Tomas Barrios Vera 2 – 3 Henrique Rocha (5)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tomas Barrios Vera 2–3 Henrique Rocha
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06/25 Wimbledon | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/06/25 Challenger Bratislava | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/05/25 French Open | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/11/24 Challenger Lima | 1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 01/11/24 Challenger Guayaquil | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tomas Barrios Vera
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Juan Estevez Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/10 | Nicolas Jarry Challenger Cali · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 08/10 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 06/10 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/10 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 02/10 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 30/09 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 31/08 | Alexander Blockx US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 9-18 | L |
Henrique Rocha
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Elmer Moller Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 19/10 | Dali Blanch Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/10 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Maia · Clay |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 04/10 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 02/10 | August Holmgren Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/10 | Mili Poljicak Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/09 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/09 | Dusan Lajovic Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tomas Barrios Vera vs Henrique Rocha?
Our model gives 58% to Henrique Rocha, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.