Tennis · Challenger Costa do Sauipe · 03/11, 14:00
Prediction: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Team pages: Thiago Seyboth Wild · Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Prediction summary
Winner
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Thiago Seyboth Wild
9-1 (W-L)
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Thiago Seyboth Wild
2–1
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
(3 last)
- 09 Oct2-0 12-5W
- 01 Oct1-2 11-17L
- 20 Oct2-1 16-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thiago Seyboth Wild 1649 · Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves 1565
| Thiago Seyboth Wild | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thiago Seyboth Wild (rating 1649 vs 1565).
- Thiago Seyboth Wild dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 51.2% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Thiago Seyboth Wild 2–1 Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves (3).
Statistics
| Thiago Seyboth Wild | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 90% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.3 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-7.4 | 11.2-8.4 |
| Aces | 6.8 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 80.5% | 70.2% |
| Break % | 51.2% | 38.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
H2H · Thiago Seyboth Wild 2 – 1 Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Thiago Seyboth Wild 2–1 Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10/26 Challenger Antofagasta | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/10/19 Challenger Campinas | 1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 20/10/17 ITF Turkey F39 | 2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thiago Seyboth Wild
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/10 | Francisco Comesana Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 17/10 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/10 | Carlos Maria Zarate Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/10 | Mateus Alves Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/10 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 10/10 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/10 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/10 | Murkel Dellien Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/10 | Matias Soto Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Cali · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 23/10 | Carlos Maria Zarate Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 22/10 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/10 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/10 | Juan Sebastian Gomez Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/10 | Lorenzo Claverie Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/10 | Francisco Comesana Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Nick Hardt Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/10 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves?
Our model gives 68% to Thiago Seyboth Wild, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.