Tennis · Challenger Costa do Sauipe · 03/11, 14:00
Prediction: Marco Cecchinato vs Francisco Comesana
Team pages: Marco Cecchinato · Francisco Comesana
Prediction summary
Winner
Marco Cecchinato
Francisco Comesana
Estimated games
25
Recent form · 10 last
Marco Cecchinato
4-6 (W-L)
Francisco Comesana
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Marco Cecchinato
1–0
Francisco Comesana
(1 last)
- 18 Jun2-0 13-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marco Cecchinato 1476 · Francisco Comesana 1536
| Marco Cecchinato | Francisco Comesana | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Francisco Comesana (rating 1476 vs 1536).
- Head-to-head: Marco Cecchinato 1–0 Francisco Comesana (1).
Statistics
| Marco Cecchinato | Francisco Comesana | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.5-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-12.5 | 15-13.7 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 5.8 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 65% | 68.1% |
| Break % | 36.3% | 39.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25
H2H · Marco Cecchinato 1 – 0 Francisco Comesana (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marco Cecchinato 1–0 Francisco Comesana
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/24 Challenger Sassuolo | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marco Cecchinato
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Matej Dodig Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 19/10 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/10 | Pedro Vives Marcos Challenger Catania · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Olle Wallin Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 18/09 | Marco Trungelliti Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 17/09 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 15/09 | Henri Squire Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/09 | Laslo Djere Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 03/09 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Nick Hardt Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
Francisco Comesana
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Nick Hardt Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/10 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 16/10 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 15/10 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Nick Hardt Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 06/10 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 24/09 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 22/09 | Juan Estevez Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 01/09 | Flavio Cobolli US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 23-23 | L |
| 25/08 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marco Cecchinato vs Francisco Comesana?
Our model gives 65% to Francisco Comesana, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.