Tennis · Challenger Costa do Sauipe · 03/11, 14:00
Prediction: Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Team pages: Facundo Diaz Acosta · Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Prediction summary
Winner
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Facundo Diaz Acosta
5-5 (W-L)
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Facundo Diaz Acosta 1533 · Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 1615
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida (rating 1533 vs 1615).
Statistics
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 83% (6) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-10.9 | 13-10.5 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 68.4% | 73.9% |
| Break % | 45.5% | 45.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Almaty · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 13/10 | Shintaro Mochizuki Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Nuno Borges ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/09 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 13/09 | Dusan Lajovic Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/09 | Jaume Munar Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 11/09 | Sebastian Ofner Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/09 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/09 | Pol Martin Tiffon Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/10 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/10 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 22/10 | Nicolas Jarry Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/10 | Jose Pereira Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/10 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/10 | Alex Barrena Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/10 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 30/09 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida?
Our model gives 51% to Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.