Tennis · Challenger Taipei · 03/11, 03:00
Prediction: Mili Poljicak vs Sho Shimabukuro
Team pages: Mili Poljicak · Sho Shimabukuro
Prediction summary
Winner
Mili Poljicak
Sho Shimabukuro
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Mili Poljicak
4-6 (W-L)
Sho Shimabukuro
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mili Poljicak 1440 · Sho Shimabukuro 1482
| Mili Poljicak | Sho Shimabukuro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sho Shimabukuro (rating 1440 vs 1482).
- Sho Shimabukuro is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Mili Poljicak | Sho Shimabukuro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.7 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-12.8 | 9.9-10.4 |
| Aces | 6.3 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.3% | 70% |
| Break % | 24.6% | 29.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mili Poljicak
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 13/10 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Villena · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 04/10 | Patrick Brady Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 01/10 | Henrique Rocha Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Max Basing Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/09 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Matej Dodig Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Slovenj Gradec |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Sho Shimabukuro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Coleman Wong Challenger Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 29/10 | Jay Friend Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/10 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/10 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Almaty · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Roman Safiullin ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 07/10 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Hugo Gaston ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Anton Shepp Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/09 | James Watt Davis Cup |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mili Poljicak vs Sho Shimabukuro?
Our model gives 66% to Sho Shimabukuro, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.